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Villa Andina Market Update — June 2026: Cocoa El Niño Spike, Maca, and Peru Superfood Export Data

Villa Andina’s monthly read on the markets we live in: organic superfoods, cacao, dried fruits and Andean grains from Peru. Prices in this article are Peru-wide export figures from SUNAT customs data; for our own current offer on any product, ask us for a quote.

The short version

Cocoa is the headline: ICE futures spiked about 12% in four sessions to around US$4,632 per tonne on a confirmed El Niño and a short squeeze, and with the 2026/27 West African main crop establishing into the El Niño peak we would plan for firm, volatile offers rather than a fourth-quarter easing. Elsewhere the month is calmer and, in places, buyer-friendly: our maca offers eased even as the 2026 crop looks smaller, our dried-fruit prices held steady despite a tighter El Niño-affected fruit base, and red and black quinoa are firming while white holds. Organic continues to earn a clear premium across most lines. The product-by-product detail, with Peru export data, follows below.

Cocoa: an El Niño spike, and why we would not bet on cheaper cocoa into Q4

Cocoa is the story of the month. ICE futures spiked to about US$4,632 per tonne by 24 June, up roughly 12% in four sessions and around 25% off the early-June low, after Japan’s Meteorological Agency confirmed a developing El Niño on 10 June and NOAA put the odds of a strong event, peaking this winter, above 60%. El Niño tends to bring warmer, drier weather to West Africa just as the 2026/27 main crop establishes from October, so the market is repricing that risk well ahead of the harvest.

ICE cocoa futures daily close March to June 2026 showing the late-June price spike to US$4,632 per tonne

The move was amplified by a short squeeze: speculative funds were holding their most bearish position in more than three years and rushed to cover once the weather catalyst landed. On the fundamentals, StoneX trimmed its 2026/27 global surplus estimate to about 149,000 tonnes, from 267,000 in January. Our own read is that this is a forward risk premium more than a change in today’s balance, since the 2025/26 season is still finishing in surplus and demand is soft, with grindings down about 2% year on year. A pullback in the fourth quarter is possible if El Niño underdelivers and the October main crop comes in well, but early field assessments in West Africa already point to weaker pod development than last year, so for now the risk sits to the upside into the year-end El Niño peak.

ICE cocoa futures price 2014 to 2026 showing the historic 2024 spike and partial retrace

Peru in focus

Peru’s cacao exports reached roughly 120,000 tonnes in 2025, up about 19% year on year, at an average FOB of US$8.03/kg. Organic earns a persistent premium, around US$8.91/kg versus US$7.87/kg for conventional. Peru still ships cacao mostly as raw beans, with derivatives such as paste, butter, powder and nibs making up roughly a third of volume, which is the value-add opportunity we are building into with our cacao paste line.

Peru cacao annual export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025
Peru cacao organic versus conventional FOB price premium 2019 to 2025
Peru cacao export mix by product showing raw beans versus derivatives in 2025

Superfoods

Maca

Peru exported about 3,264 tonnes of maca powder in 2025, up 11% year on year, at an average FOB near US$5.51/kg, well off the 2022 peak around US$8.7/kg. The demand map has shifted: Brazil has overtaken the United States as the largest destination, taking around 33% of volume against 25% for the US in 2024-2025. Field prices have firmed on a smaller projected 2026 crop, yet we have been able to ease our own maca offers this month, which makes this a good window to cover forward needs before new-crop pricing sets in.

Peru maca powder export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025
Top destination countries for Peru maca powder exports with Brazil now the largest buyer
Peru maca export seasonality by calendar month

Lucuma

Lucuma is a niche but firm line: roughly 167 tonnes of powder in 2025 at an average FOB near US$7.93/kg, with volume up about 14% year on year. Clean-label sweetener demand in smoothies, ice cream and baking keeps it steady.

Peru lucuma powder export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025

Camu-camu

Camu-camu commands one of the highest unit values in our range, with about 78 tonnes of powder in 2025 at an average FOB near US$16/kg. Volume eased about 11% on limited Amazon-basin supply. The United States, Japan and the United Kingdom lead demand for its high vitamin C content.

Peru camu-camu powder export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025
Top destination countries for Peru camu-camu powder exports

Dried Fruits

Banana powder

Banana powder is small but fast-growing: about 144 tonnes in 2025, up 36% year on year, at an average FOB near US$5.60/kg, and organic commands a clear premium (around US$5.69/kg versus US$4.99/kg conventional). This season El Niño has tightened the fruit base, with most fruit pulled toward the local market and fresh export, leaving less for industrial processing until heavier harvest resumes in August.

Peru banana powder export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025
Peru banana powder organic versus conventional FOB price

Dried banana slices and bits

Dried banana formats ran about 419 tonnes in 2025, up 9% year on year, at an average FOB near US$6.62/kg, with a wide organic premium (around US$8.54/kg versus US$6.28/kg). The same tighter fruit supply applies.

Peru dried banana export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025

Goldenberry

Dried goldenberry rebounded hard, to about 300 tonnes in 2025 at an average FOB near US$10.33/kg. Dried pricing tracks the fresh export channel: when fresh demand is strong, less fruit is diverted to dehydration, which tightens dried supply and firms prices. June is the last month of our main collection, and this year’s quality has been clean.

Peru goldenberry fresh versus dried export volume showing the channel that drives dried pricing
Peru dried goldenberry export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025

Mango

Dried mango snapped back to about 2,353 tonnes in 2025 from a weak 2024, at an average FOB near US$9.21/kg. Mango is currently between campaigns; the new season starts in September in Chilete and from October in Tambo Grande. We are watching temperatures, since growers need readings below 35C for good flowering, and the heat-sensitive Kent variety is showing some bloom impact while the Edward variety is holding up. We will have no dried mango availability until the new crop in October.

Peru dried mango export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025

Pineapple

Dried pineapple ran about 1,202 tonnes in 2025, up 87% year on year, at an average FOB near US$12.42/kg. Peru continues to fill gaps left by reduced Central American availability, with the United States the dominant buyer. We source from Amazonas (red) and Satipo in Junín (Golden), and field prices could ease into July.

Peru dried pineapple export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025
Top destination countries for Peru dried pineapple exports

Andean Grains

Quinoa

Peru shipped about 51,000 tonnes of quinoa grain in 2025, broadly flat year on year, at an average FOB near US$2.73/kg. White quinoa dominates the colour mix and is coming in normally this harvest, while red and black are the premium tail, with small harvests and climbing prices. Organic trades around US$3.02/kg versus US$2.54/kg conventional, and organic’s share of grain exports has been rising over time.

Peru quinoa grain export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025
Peru quinoa export mix by colour white red black tricoloured
Organic share of Peru quinoa grain exports over time

Amaranth (kiwicha)

Kiwicha remains a niche, low-volume line, about 519 tonnes in 2025 at an average FOB near US$2.62/kg, with most production in Cusco.

Peru amaranth kiwicha grain export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025

Chia

Peru is not a competitive origin for chia, where Paraguay, Bolivia and Argentina dominate global supply, so we carry it for reference. Peru exported about 1,800 tonnes in 2025 at an average FOB near US$3.84/kg.

Peru chia grain export volume and average FOB price 2019 to 2025

What this means for buyers

The headline this month is cocoa, where we would plan for firm, volatile offers into the year-end rather than assume a Q4 easing. On the rest of the range, maca is a buyer-friendly window, dried fruit supply is tight but our prices are steady, and the red and black quinoa tail is firming. For firm, current pricing on any specific product and volume, see our product range and request a quote; we usually reply within one business day.

Methodology and sources

Peru export figures are from SUNAT customs data via Veritrade (volumes and average FOB, computed as total FOB value divided by net kilograms). Global cocoa price, positioning and weather context are from ICE, the CFTC, NOAA and StoneX. Figures were pulled in late June 2026. This update is published monthly; for the underlying field view we also draw on our own operations team in Peru.

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